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Here’s Why Solana Faces a Potential 20% Price Breakdown

Here’s Why Solana Faces a Potential 20% Price Breakdown

bySahil Mahadik
June 19, 2025
in Price Analysis

SOL, the native cryptocurrency of the Solana ecosystem, plunged over 2% on Thursday to reach a $143 trading price. This bearish momentum accelerated as United States President Donald Trump approved an attack on Iran, escalating the geopolitical tension in the Middle East. Along with a broader market pullback, the active addresses on SOL take a major hit, signaling a risk of a prolonged downtrend.

Solana On-Chain Activity Declines Sharply

Over the past week, the Solana price has experienced a notable downturn, dropping from $168 to $143, resulting in a 7% loss. The correction trend likely followed the broader market pullback as military action in the Middle East continued to escalate.

According to a recent news report, one of America’s top aircraft—the E-4B Nightwatch, also known as the “doomsday plane”—was seen taking off on Tuesday amid the alarming concern of the United States getting involved in the Iran-Israel war.

Thus, a majority of major cryptocurrencies, including Solana, face the risk of a prolonged correction in June 2025.

Along with price correction, the number of active addresses on the Solana network plunged from 5.12 million to 3.97 million—a 22% decline—in the last two weeks. This drop typically indicates fewer users interacting with dApps, staking, or transferring tokens on the SOL network, reflecting reduced demand or interest.

Here’s Why Solana Faces a Potential 20% Price Breakdown
Active Users on Solana | TheBlock

If the trend resumes, crypto buyers may struggle to maintain momentum, potentially leading to a continuation of the price trend. 

Bearish Chart Setup Hints at Deeper Breakdown Below $140

The daily further chart analysis shows a downward trend with a lower high formation at $187, before the price plunged 22% to $145. A series of such lower-high formations are often spotted during an established downtrend, signaling a sell-the-bounce sentiment in the market. 

A deeper analysis of the technical chart also revealed the potential formation of a head-and-shoulders pattern. This chart setup consists of three peaks: the left shoulder, the middle head, and the right shoulder.

Currently, the Solana price is just 3% short of a bearish breakdown below the pattern’s neckline support of $140. Considering the mounting geopolitical tension in the Middle East, the SOL price is likely to breach this support and accelerate its downtrend by 20% to hit $116.

Solana price
SOL/USDT – 1d Chart

On the contrary, if the coin buyers continue to defend the pullback support at $140, the price could rechallenge the overhead trendline, potentially leading to a breakout and invalidating the bearish thesis.

Also Read: Crypto is Not a Threat to Dollar: Treasury Secretary Bessent

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Solana to Outperform Ethereum: SkyBridge’s Scaramucci

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Sahil Mahadik

Sahil Mahadik

Sahil Mahadik is a full-time trader with over three years of experience in the financial markets, specializing in technical analysis. His journey into trading began with a passion for financial instruments, which eventually led him to focus on cryptocurrencies. Sahil continuously monitors emerging trends and strategies to maximize returns in both traditional and crypto markets.

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